The differentiation of housing prices has intensified, and the property market has entered an era of "uneven hot and cold"
In the past, China's real estate market showed a "general increase" trend, but now this situation has changed significantly. The housing prices in the core areas of first-tier cities are still strong, while some third- and fourth-tier cities are facing downward pressure on housing prices, and some cities have even seen the phenomenon of "no market with price".
1. First-tier cities: housing prices in core areas are stable and rising
Beijing, Shanghai, Shenzhen and other first-tier cities have remained resilient due to concentrated resources and abundant employment opportunities. Although regulatory policies continue to tighten, real estate in core areas is still a safe haven for funds. For those who just need it and those who want to improve their living conditions, it is still a good choice to get on board as soon as possible.
2. Second-tier cities: differentiation has intensified, and high-quality locations are still worth investing in
In second-tier cities such as Hangzhou, Chengdu, and Wuhan, due to strong industrial development and population attraction, housing prices have remained stable overall. But at the same time, in some cities that rely too much on real estate, housing prices have begun to decline, and the pressure to destock has increased.
3. Third- and fourth-tier cities: Housing prices are under pressure, and buyers need to be cautious
Affected by factors such as population outflow and economic slowdown, the real estate market in some third- and fourth-tier cities has entered a "cooling period". The number of second-hand houses listed in many cities has surged, but the transaction volume has shrunk significantly, and housing prices have also loosened. For buyers in these cities, they need to be more cautious when buying a house to avoid "taking over" high-priced assets.
Policy loosening, lower housing purchase costs?
1. The interest rate cut cycle begins, and mortgage interest rates fall
At the end of 2024, the central bank will gradually lower the LPR (loan market benchmark rate), allowing mortgage interest rates to reach a historical low. For buyers, this means that the pressure of monthly payments is reduced and the cost of buying a house is reduced. For those who just need it, this is undoubtedly a good signal.
2. The "old for new" policy is increased to promote the circulation of second-hand houses
In order to solve the dilemma of "unable to sell and unable to afford" in the second-hand housing market, many cities have introduced the "old for new" policy to encourage second-hand housing transactions and activate market liquidity. For those who want to change houses, this is undoubtedly an opportunity worthy of attention.
3. Purchase restrictions are relaxed, and the threshold for settling down is lowered
In recent years, many places have relaxed restrictions on home purchases, and even some second-tier cities have completely lifted purchase restrictions. This means that more people can buy houses freely, especially for young people who have the need to buy houses, buying houses has become easier.
Renting vs. buying houses, the choice of young people is changing
With the change of housing concepts, more and more young people are beginning to choose to rent rather than buy houses. On the one hand, renting can reduce living costs and retain capital liquidity; on the other hand, flexible renting methods are also in line with young people's pursuit of a free life attitude.
However, there are also many uncertainties in the rental market, such as rent fluctuations and insufficient protection of rental rights. Therefore, for people with long-term stable housing needs, buying a house is still a relatively safe choice.
What is the best strategy for buying a house in 2025?
1. Just-needed people: Get on board as soon as possible while interest rates are low
If you are a just-needed buyer, the current market environment is relatively friendly, especially as mortgage interest rates continue to fall and the cost of buying a house decreases. Therefore, for groups with stable income and long-term settlement intentions, 2025 is a good time to buy a house.
2. Improvement group: "Trade-in" is a good opportunity
If you already have a house but want to change to a better one, the current market policy is more favorable to improvement demand, especially the introduction of the "trade-in" policy, which can effectively reduce the cost of changing houses.
3. Investors: Choose carefully and avoid "standing guard"
For investors, blindly following the trend to buy a house is no longer a wise choice. In the future, the investment logic of real estate will be more inclined to "asset preservation" rather than "rapid appreciation". If you want to invest in real estate, core cities and high-quality locations are the first choice.
How to make rational decisions in the new cycle of the real estate market?
The real estate market in 2025 is undergoing profound changes. For home buyers, they should pay attention to policy trends and make rational decisions based on their own needs. Buying a house is no longer an era of "buying with your eyes closed and making money", but requires accurate judgment of market trends to seize the initiative in this new change in the real estate market.
Whether it is rigid demand, improvement or investment, has your buying strategy been adjusted? Welcome to share your views in the comment area!